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Palm versions of Hawkes processes

Kirchner, Matthias (2026). Palm versions of Hawkes processes (In Press). Statistics & Probability Letters, 227, p. 110531 Elsevier. 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110531

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This brief paper identifies the Palm distribution of a linear Hawkes process. The textbook example for Palm distributions is the Palm version of a stationary Poisson process that corresponds to the original process plus a point in zero. The present result generalizes this example in a more complex but nevertheless tractable way. As a next step, we derive the intensity measure of the Palm version of a Hawkes process and show how it could be used for estimation. Finally, we discuss further possible applications to the theory of Hawkes processes.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

PHBern Contributor:

Kirchner, Matthias

ISSN:

0167-7152

Publisher:

Elsevier

Language:

English

Submitter:

Matthias Kirchner

Date Deposited:

05 Sep 2025 12:17

Last Modified:

08 Sep 2025 07:07

Publisher DOI:

10.1016/j.spl.2025.110531

PHBern DOI:

10.57694/7838

URI:

https://phrepo.phbern.ch/id/eprint/7838

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