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Fluctuations and precise deviations of cumulative INAR time series

Kirchner, Matthias; Torrisi, Giovanni Luca (2023). Fluctuations and precise deviations of cumulative INAR time series. Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 164, pp. 1-32. 10.1016/j.spa.2023.07.002

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In this paper, we study fluctuations and precise deviations of cumulative INAR time series, both in a non-stationary and in a stationary regime. The theoretical results are based on the recent mod-φ convergence theory as presented in Féray et al., 2016. We apply our findings to the construction of approximate confidence intervals for model parameters and to quantile calculation in a risk management context.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

PHBern Contributor:

Kirchner, Matthias

ISSN:

0304-4149

Language:

English

Submitter:

Matthias Kirchner

Date Deposited:

07 Aug 2025 13:01

Last Modified:

09 Aug 2025 10:46

Publisher DOI:

10.1016/j.spa.2023.07.002

Uncontrolled Keywords:

Time series, Central limit theorems, Precise deviations, Branching processes

PHBern DOI:

10.57694/7795

URI:

https://phrepo.phbern.ch/id/eprint/7795

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